Forecast and Analysis

Regional Migration Analysis: 18-25 September 2015

Andrew Farnsworth The Cornell Lab Sep 25, 2015

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker, Ryan Schain.

Yellow-bellied Sapsucker, Ryan Schain.

Continental Summary

Moderate and heavy flights were the norm this week for many areas of the country, featuring Greater White-fronted Goose, Ring-necked Duck, Say’s Phoebe, Varied Thrush, Yellow-rumped Warbler, Fox Sparrow, and Golden-crowned Sparrow in the West and American Bittern, Northern Flicker, Eastern Phoebe, Ruby-crowned Kinglet, Nashville Warbler, Yellow-rumped Warbler, Palm Warbler, Rose-breasted Grosbeak, and White-crowned Sparrow in the East.

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Want to know what species will be on the move this week? Visit our forecast for this week.

Need a review of our definitions for regions, species on the move, and migration amounts? Please visit this link.

Quick Links to Regions

Upper Midwest and NortheastBirdCast Upper Midwest and Northeast Region Gulf Coast and SoutheastBirdCast Upper Southeast Region
Great Plainsbirdcast_plains West
BirdCast West Region

Upper Midwest and Northeast

Low pressure and associated precipitation in the vicinity of the Great Lakes brought mostly unfavorable conditions to the region to start the period. But with its passage heavy migration followed, first to the west of the Appalachians on Saturday then east of the Appalachians on Sunday. Moderate to locally heavy flights continued for the remainder of the period, scattered across the region. Particularly active were areas of the eastern Great Lakes and New England, as strong high pressure to the north in Canada brought northeasterly winds.

Top Movers

Increasing

Decreasing

House Wren, Ryan Schain.

House Wren, Ryan Schain.

Gulf Coast and Southeast

A weekend of primarily light to moderate flights kicked off the period for the region, with some locally heavier flights in the southern Appalachians and coastal bend of Georgia and Florida. A similar pattern continued for many areas close to the immediate Gulf of Mexico coast and through portions of the southeastern Appalachians and coastal plain through mid week. However, a disturbance moving ashore quieted flights substantial to end the period, with primarily light to moderate flights occurring west of the Appalachians and Mississippi River.

Top Movers

Increasing

Decreasing

American Bittern, Ryan Schain.

American Bittern, Ryan Schain.

Great Plains

An active start for the southern Plains featured a pulse of heavy movements on Friday night, but this intensity diminished quickly – Saturday saw almost all of the region’s flights localized and limited to light to moderate intensity. Changes were in the air by Monday night, as a new pulse of heavy flights was apparent in the northern and central Plains. But these, too, were reasonably short-lived: precipitation, some of which was intense, moving across the region kept flights localized, though to a slightly lesser extent than the weekend, and limited to light to moderate intensities for the remainder of the period.

Top Movers

Increasing

Decreasing

Say's Phoebe, Ryan Schain.

Say’s Phoebe, Ryan Schain.

West

Moderate flights kicked off the weekend in the Pacific Northwest, Central Valley, and Desert Southwest. The northern portion of the region continued to experience such flights on Monday night, with this pulses connected with the flights occurring in the northern Plains. After a brief respite in the action on Tuesday, when primarily light movements were scattered across the region, another light to moderate pulse came to the Desert Southwest on Wednesday and Thursday nights. Some of these movements, particularly in the southern Rockies, were locally heavy.

Top Movers

Increasing

Decreasing

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