Forecast and Analysis

Regional Migration Forecast: 28 October – 4 November 2016

Andrew Farnsworth The Cornell Lab Oct 28, 2016

Dunlin. Chris Thomas/Macaulay Library. eBird S31879890.

Dunlin. Chris Thomas/Macaulay Library. eBird S31879890.

Continental Summary

Scattered and local light to moderate flights begin and end the period in the West and feature White-winged Scoter, Common Loon, Western Grebe, Red-necked Grebe, Dunlin, Marsh Wren, and White-throated Sparrow, moderate to heavy flights begin and end the period in the East and feature American Wigeon, Surf Scoter, Pied-billed Grebe, Northern Harrier, Sandhill Crane, Dunlin, Sedge Wren, Lincoln’s Sparrow, and Pine Siskin.

Arrows show wind speed and direction (arrow points in the direction to which wind is blowing) 100 m above ground level. Areas with southerly winds are colored red; northerly winds colored blue. Accumulated precipitation (in 6 hour intervals) is green, outlined by white. Broadly speaking, areas of the map in blue will experience conditions that are favorable for migration, and areas where blue and green (and red and blue) intersect and overlap may experience migrant concentrations and fallouts as migrants interact with precipitation.

We use data collected by eBird users help make more accurate forecasts. If you enjoy the predictions contained in these posts, please consider submitting your own bird sightings to eBird to even further improve the content. Every observation counts, whether it be a single bird at a feeder in your backyard, or an entire day spent in a national park. To get started with eBird, head on over to the site!

Additionally, please note that photographs and other digital media showing birds come from the Macaulay Library, which receives credit along with the photographer/observer in the media caption as part of a new initiative that allows public contribution, access and use of natural history media.

Need a review of our definitions for regions, species on the move, and migration amounts? Please visit this link.

Quick Links to Regions

Upper Midwest and NortheastBirdCast Upper Midwest and Northeast Region Gulf Coast and SoutheastBirdCast Upper Southeast Region
Great Plainsbirdcast_plains West
BirdCast West Region

Upper Midwest and Northeast

Locally moderate to heavy flights follow the passage of a low pressure system in New England to begin the weekend, and then become more widespread with favorable conditions on Sunday and Monday. By Tuesday warmer air builds into the region and will keep most movements light at best. As this warm air mass moves east, migration will be locally moderate where conditions allow. But these locally marginal conditions will yield to much more widespread favorable migration conditions with the passage of the next frontal boundary on Wednesday night and Thursday, which will usher a new pulse of moderate to very heavy flights across much of the region to end the period.

Pine Siskin. Ed Wransky/Macaulay Library. eBird S32045312.

Pine Siskin. Ed Wransky/Macaulay Library. eBird S32045312.

Species on the Move

Beginning Arrivals What is this?

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Great Cormorant * 9/5 11/16 After Nov 30 - -
Red-throated Loon ** 10/11 10/28 After Nov 30 - -
Common Merganser ** 10/16 11/29 After Nov 30 - -
Red-breasted Merganser *** 10/16 11/1 After Nov 30 - -
Bufflehead ****! 10/20 10/30 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Hooded Merganser *** 10/20 11/3 After Nov 30 - -
Common Goldeneye *** 10/24 11/29 After Nov 30 - -
Tundra Swan *** 10/30 11/9 11/22 After Nov 30 -

Peaking Arrivals

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
American Wigeon ** 9/23 10/8 10/28 11/10 11/29
Pine Siskin *** 9/27 10/10 10/28 11/11 After Nov 30
Pied-billed Grebe *** 9/4 10/11 10/31 11/20 After Nov 30
Northern Shoveler * 8/9 10/12 11/8 After Nov 30 -
Brant ** 10/1 10/13 10/30 11/8 11/15
American Black Duck ** 9/23 10/14 After Nov 30 - -
Dark-eyed Junco ****! 9/28 10/14 11/10 11/16 11/22
Fox Sparrow *** 9/28 10/16 11/9 After Nov 30 -
Ruddy Duck *** 9/29 10/17 11/8 11/23 After Nov 30
Dunlin ** 9/13 10/17 10/29 11/11 11/22
Gadwall ** 10/4 10/19 11/12 11/22 After Nov 30
Redhead * 9/28 10/19 11/14 11/18 11/20
Surf Scoter * 9/25 10/19 11/4 11/12 11/17
Greater Scaup * 10/9 10/22 After Nov 30 - -
Canvasback * 10/12 10/23 After Nov 30 - -
Ring-necked Duck *** 10/7 10/23 11/9 11/17 11/24
Red-necked Grebe * 10/11 10/23 11/5 11/15 11/23
White-winged Scoter ** 10/12 10/24 11/6 11/13 11/18
Lesser Scaup ** 10/12 10/25 11/14 11/20 After Nov 30
Bonaparte's Gull ** 10/12 10/25 11/11 After Nov 30 -
Common Loon *** 10/14 10/26 11/11 11/24 After Nov 30
Horned Grebe *** 10/15 10/26 11/11 11/17 11/22
Long-tailed Duck ** 10/18 10/27 After Nov 30 - -
Red-throated Loon ** 10/11 10/28 After Nov 30 - -
Bufflehead *** 10/20 10/30 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Red-breasted Merganser *** 10/16 11/1 After Nov 30 - -
Hooded Merganser *** 10/20 11/3 After Nov 30 - -

Beginning Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Laughing Gull ** - 8/2 8/14 After Nov 30 -
Greater Yellowlegs ** - 8/2 8/20 11/11 After Nov 30
Wood Duck ** - 8/2 8/21 11/2 11/22
Royal Tern * - 8/2 8/21 11/8 After Nov 30
Red-shouldered Hawk * 8/26 9/5 9/21 11/10 11/19
Blue Jay *** 8/23 9/8 9/28 10/30 11/26
Cooper's Hawk *** 8/2 9/7 10/11 10/28 11/8
Chipping Sparrow *** 9/16 10/2 10/12 10/29 11/9
Savannah Sparrow *** 9/12 9/26 10/12 10/29 11/12
American Robin *** 9/13 9/24 10/13 11/8 After Nov 30
Ruby-crowned Kinglet *** 9/18 9/30 10/14 10/28 11/8
Song Sparrow *** 9/19 10/1 10/14 10/28 11/10
Winter Wren ** 9/17 9/28 10/15 10/28 11/8
Golden-crowned Kinglet *** 9/22 10/1 10/15 11/6 11/18
Wilson's Snipe * 9/24 10/3 10/16 10/29 After Nov 30
Eastern Meadowlark * 9/17 10/2 10/16 10/30 11/11
Sharp-shinned Hawk *** 8/31 9/10 10/17 10/30 After Nov 30
Eastern Bluebird ** 9/12 9/27 10/18 11/12 After Nov 30
Field Sparrow *** 9/29 10/8 10/18 10/30 11/8
White-throated Sparrow *** 9/18 9/30 10/18 10/31 11/12
Red-winged Blackbird *** 9/24 10/4 10/18 11/6 After Nov 30
Common Grackle *** 10/2 10/8 10/18 11/7 After Nov 30
Hermit Thrush *** 9/25 10/6 10/19 10/31 11/10
Northern Harrier ** 8/2 10/9 10/21 11/2 11/13
Vesper Sparrow ** 10/5 10/12 10/21 11/2 11/10
Rusty Blackbird ** 9/19 10/3 10/23 11/10 After Nov 30
Green-winged Teal *** 8/13 10/11 10/24 After Nov 30 -
Purple Finch ** 9/26 10/8 10/24 11/8 After Nov 30
American Pipit ** 9/10 9/22 10/24 11/11 11/25
Northern Pintail * 9/5 10/12 10/27 11/7 After Nov 30
American Wigeon * 9/23 10/8 10/28 11/10 11/29
Pine Siskin ** 9/27 10/10 10/28 11/11 After Nov 30
Dunlin ** 9/13 10/17 10/29 11/11 11/22
Brant * 10/1 10/13 10/30 11/8 11/15
Pied-billed Grebe *** 9/4 10/11 10/31 11/20 After Nov 30
Surf Scoter * 9/25 10/19 11/4 11/12 11/17

Ending Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Black Skimmer * - - Before Aug 1 8/3 10/28
Black-bellied Plover * - 8/2 8/18 8/27 After Nov 30
Pectoral Sandpiper ** 8/11 8/17 8/23 9/7 11/13
Cedar Waxwing *** - 8/2 8/17 9/25 After Nov 30
Forster's Tern * - 8/2 8/16 9/26 After Nov 30
Yellow-crowned Night-Heron * - 8/2 8/6 10/10 10/28
Northern Flicker *** 8/30 9/12 9/25 10/10 10/30
Belted Kingfisher *** - 8/2 9/19 10/16 10/29
Snowy Egret ** - 8/2 8/11 10/17 10/31
Peregrine Falcon *** 8/2 9/23 10/4 10/17 10/28
Red-breasted Nuthatch * 8/12 9/4 10/2 10/17 After Nov 30
Marsh Wren ** 9/7 9/19 9/30 10/17 10/29
Eastern Phoebe *** 9/9 9/18 9/30 10/18 11/3
Osprey *** - 8/2 8/15 10/19 11/4
Blue-headed Vireo *** 9/8 9/21 10/4 10/19 10/31
Lincoln's Sparrow *** 9/10 9/22 10/5 10/19 10/31
Great Blue Heron *** - 8/2 8/15 10/20 After Nov 30
Palm Warbler *** 9/2 9/21 10/6 10/21 11/1
Blue-winged Teal *** 8/2 8/19 9/7 10/22 11/5
Great Egret *** - 8/2 8/13 10/22 11/5
American Kestrel *** 8/29 9/6 9/26 10/22 11/2
Eastern Towhee *** 9/23 9/30 10/9 10/23 11/3
Brown Creeper ** 9/19 9/29 10/14 10/24 11/5
Killdeer *** - - Before Aug 1 10/25 11/24
Tree Swallow *** - 8/2 8/9 10/25 11/6
Merlin *** 8/26 9/4 9/20 10/26 11/6
Yellow-rumped Warbler *** 9/19 9/29 10/12 10/26 11/7
Turkey Vulture *** 8/28 9/6 9/19 10/27 After Nov 30
Swamp Sparrow *** 9/20 9/30 10/13 10/27 11/10
White-crowned Sparrow *** 9/23 10/2 10/15 10/27 11/6
Cooper's Hawk *** 8/2 9/7 10/11 10/28 11/8
Winter Wren ** 9/17 9/28 10/15 10/28 11/8
Ruby-crowned Kinglet *** 9/18 9/30 10/14 10/28 11/8
Song Sparrow *** 9/19 10/1 10/14 10/28 11/10
Wilson's Snipe * 9/24 10/3 10/16 10/29 After Nov 30
Chipping Sparrow *** 9/16 10/2 10/12 10/29 11/9
Savannah Sparrow *** 9/12 9/26 10/12 10/29 11/12
Sharp-shinned Hawk *** 8/31 9/10 10/17 10/30 After Nov 30
Blue Jay *** 8/23 9/8 9/28 10/30 11/26
Field Sparrow *** 9/29 10/8 10/18 10/30 11/8
Eastern Meadowlark ** 9/17 10/2 10/16 10/30 11/11
Hermit Thrush *** 9/25 10/6 10/19 10/31 11/10
White-throated Sparrow *** 9/18 9/30 10/18 10/31 11/12
Wood Duck *** - 8/2 8/21 11/2 11/22
Northern Harrier ** 8/2 10/9 10/21 11/2 11/13
Vesper Sparrow ** 10/5 10/12 10/21 11/2 11/10

Gulf Coast and Southeast

Most of the period is dominated by a warmer air mass that will keep migration local and light in most of the region away from the Atlantic coastal plains of the Carolinas through peninsular Florida. Here, migration will be light to moderate, with occasionally heavier coastal flights in calm or marginally favorable winds. Not until Thursday will there be a significant change, with cooler air and more favorable winds bringing more widespread moderate to heavy flights to most of the region east of Texas.

Lincoln's Sparrow. Tara Randle/Macaulay Library. eBird S32105149.

Lincoln’s Sparrow. Tara Randle/Macaulay Library. eBird S32105149.

Beginning Arrivals What is this?

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Great Blue Heron *** 8/2 11/5 11/16 After Nov 30 -
Herring Gull ** 9/22 11/29 After Nov 30 - -
Pied-billed Grebe *** 9/25 10/31 11/20 After Nov 30 -
American White Pelican *** 9/29 10/30 11/15 11/21 After Nov 30
Sandhill Crane ** 10/8 10/29 After Nov 30 - -
American Wigeon *** 10/10 10/30 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Green-winged Teal *** 10/11 11/4 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Pine Siskin ** 10/14 10/30 After Nov 30 - -
Gadwall *** 10/17 10/30 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Orange-crowned Warbler *** 10/17 10/28 11/10 11/18 11/24
Northern Pintail *** 10/18 10/31 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Ruddy Duck *** 10/18 11/1 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Common Gallinule *** 10/18 10/28 11/11 11/19 After Nov 30
Common Gallinule *** 10/18 10/28 11/11 11/19 After Nov 30
Dark-eyed Junco *** 10/18 11/2 After Nov 30 - -
Northern Gannet * 10/19 11/4 After Nov 30 - -
Ring-necked Duck *** 10/20 11/5 11/23 After Nov 30 -
Redhead *** 10/21 11/3 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Eared Grebe * 10/21 11/4 11/24 After Nov 30 -
Black-necked Stilt ** 10/21 10/29 11/9 After Nov 30 -
Northern Shoveler *** 10/22 11/4 11/19 After Nov 30 -
American Pipit *** 10/22 11/4 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Snow Goose *** 10/23 11/5 After Nov 30 - -
Black-bellied Whistling-Duck ** 10/24 10/30 11/9 After Nov 30 -
Ross's Goose * 10/24 11/7 After Nov 30 - -
Common Loon *** 10/27 11/8 After Nov 30 - -
Canvasback ** 10/28 11/8 After Nov 30 - -
Lesser Scaup *** 10/29 11/9 After Nov 30 - -
Horned Grebe *** 10/30 11/11 After Nov 30 - -
Ring-billed Gull *** 10/30 11/24 After Nov 30 - -
Bonaparte's Gull ** 11/1 11/13 After Nov 30 - -
Hooded Merganser *** 11/2 11/11 After Nov 30 - -
Bufflehead *** 11/4 11/13 After Nov 30 - -

Peaking Arrivals

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Black-bellied Plover * - 8/2 10/31 After Nov 30 -
Caspian Tern * - 8/2 11/7 After Nov 30 -
Blue-winged Teal * 8/8 8/26 11/8 11/29 After Nov 30
Bald Eagle ** 9/3 9/15 11/21 After Nov 30 -
Sora * 8/29 9/21 11/7 11/17 After Nov 30
Sharp-shinned Hawk ** 9/8 9/24 10/28 11/15 After Nov 30
American Kestrel *** 9/12 9/29 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Black Vulture ** 8/28 9/30 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Tree Swallow ** 9/24 10/3 11/2 11/14 11/22
Marsh Wren ** 9/20 10/3 11/1 11/18 After Nov 30
Lincoln's Sparrow ** 9/23 10/4 10/31 11/13 11/21
Red-winged Blackbird *** 9/22 10/4 11/9 After Nov 30 -
House Wren *** 9/23 10/6 10/28 11/12 After Nov 30
American Bittern * 9/14 10/9 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Eastern Phoebe *** 9/25 10/9 10/30 After Nov 30 -
Double-crested Cormorant *** 9/27 10/11 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Sedge Wren * 9/28 10/11 11/2 After Nov 30 -
Ruby-crowned Kinglet *** 9/26 10/14 11/16 11/24 After Nov 30
Wilson's Snipe ** 9/30 10/15 11/14 After Nov 30 -
Blue-headed Vireo ** 9/3 10/15 10/31 11/8 11/14
Eastern Meadowlark *** 10/2 10/15 11/3 11/23 After Nov 30
Spotted Towhee * 10/5 10/16 After Nov 30 - -
Winter Wren * 10/7 10/17 After Nov 30 - -
Golden-crowned Kinglet *** 10/7 10/17 11/15 After Nov 30 -
Brown Creeper * 10/6 10/18 11/23 After Nov 30 -
Yellow-rumped Warbler *** 10/6 10/18 After Nov 30 - -
Song Sparrow *** 10/7 10/19 11/17 After Nov 30 -
White-throated Sparrow *** 10/9 10/19 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Western Meadowlark * 10/2 10/19 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Savannah Sparrow *** 10/5 10/20 11/10 11/27 After Nov 30
American Avocet * 8/2 10/22 11/7 After Nov 30 -
Vesper Sparrow ** 10/12 10/23 11/7 11/15 11/22
Chipping Sparrow *** 10/13 10/24 After Nov 30 - -
Hermit Thrush *** 10/15 10/25 11/11 11/17 11/21
Field Sparrow *** 10/14 10/25 11/14 After Nov 30 -
Red-tailed Hawk *** 10/1 10/26 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Dunlin ** 10/10 10/26 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Franklin's Gull * 10/14 10/26 11/7 11/25 After Nov 30
Northern Harrier *** 9/16 10/27 11/16 After Nov 30 -
Common Gallinule ** 10/18 10/28 11/11 11/19 After Nov 30
Common Gallinule ** 10/18 10/28 11/11 11/19 After Nov 30
Orange-crowned Warbler *** 10/17 10/28 11/10 11/18 11/24
Sandhill Crane ** 10/8 10/29 After Nov 30 - -
Black-necked Stilt * 10/21 10/29 11/9 After Nov 30 -
Black-bellied Whistling-Duck ** 10/24 10/30 11/9 After Nov 30 -
Gadwall *** 10/17 10/30 11/19 After Nov 30 -
American Wigeon *** 10/10 10/30 11/18 After Nov 30 -
American White Pelican *** 9/29 10/30 11/15 11/21 After Nov 30
Pine Siskin * 10/14 10/30 After Nov 30 - -
Northern Pintail ** 10/18 10/31 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Pied-billed Grebe *** 9/25 10/31 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Ruddy Duck *** 10/18 11/1 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Dark-eyed Junco *** 10/18 11/2 After Nov 30 - -
Redhead *** 10/21 11/3 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Northern Shoveler *** 10/22 11/4 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Green-winged Teal *** 10/11 11/4 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Eared Grebe * 10/21 11/4 11/24 After Nov 30 -
Northern Gannet * 10/19 11/4 After Nov 30 - -
American Pipit *** 10/22 11/4 11/20 After Nov 30 -

Beginning Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Piping Plover * - 8/2 8/20 After Nov 30 -
Cape May Warbler * 9/3 9/12 9/25 10/28 11/5
Scissor-tailed Flycatcher *** 9/8 9/23 10/7 11/3 11/23
Merlin * 9/8 9/18 10/9 11/2 11/16
Northern Rough-winged Swallow ** 9/25 10/3 10/13 11/2 11/20
Painted Bunting ** 9/28 10/4 10/14 10/29 11/9
Cooper's Hawk ** 8/2 9/21 10/17 After Nov 30 -
Northern Flicker *** 9/18 10/1 10/17 10/29 11/8
Eastern Towhee *** 9/10 10/10 10/19 11/1 11/12
Palm Warbler *** 9/15 10/5 10/20 10/31 11/7
Common Grackle *** 9/29 10/9 10/21 After Nov 30 -
Belted Kingfisher ** 8/13 9/18 10/22 After Nov 30 -
Red-breasted Nuthatch * 10/2 10/11 10/23 After Nov 30 -
Brown-headed Cowbird * 9/15 9/27 10/23 After Nov 30 -
Yellow-bellied Sapsucker *** 9/30 10/9 10/24 10/31 11/6
Sharp-shinned Hawk ** 9/8 9/24 10/28 11/15 After Nov 30
House Wren *** 9/23 10/6 10/28 11/12 After Nov 30
Eastern Phoebe *** 9/25 10/9 10/30 After Nov 30 -
Black-bellied Plover * - 8/2 10/31 After Nov 30 -
Blue-headed Vireo * 9/3 10/15 10/31 11/8 11/14
Lincoln's Sparrow ** 9/23 10/4 10/31 11/13 11/21
Marsh Wren * 9/20 10/3 11/1 11/18 After Nov 30
Tree Swallow * 9/24 10/3 11/2 11/14 11/22
Sedge Wren * 9/28 10/11 11/2 After Nov 30 -
Eastern Meadowlark ** 10/2 10/15 11/3 11/23 After Nov 30

Ending Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Blue Grosbeak ** - - Before Aug 1 8/24 10/28
Sandwich Tern * - 8/2 8/16 8/27 After Nov 30
Barn Swallow *** - 8/2 8/10 9/9 11/14
Least Sandpiper * - 8/2 8/25 9/15 After Nov 30
Western Sandpiper * 8/2 8/17 8/31 9/15 After Nov 30
Cave Swallow * 8/2 8/28 9/4 9/16 11/21
Common Tern * - 8/2 8/18 9/30 11/10
Blackburnian Warbler ** 8/26 9/5 9/18 10/3 10/28
Hooded Warbler *** 8/8 8/20 9/20 10/5 10/29
White-eyed Vireo *** 8/21 9/2 9/19 10/13 10/28
Prairie Warbler *** 8/2 9/7 9/22 10/14 11/3
Swainson's Hawk * - 8/2 10/2 10/16 10/28
Eastern Wood-Pewee *** 8/19 9/1 9/17 10/17 11/2
American Redstart *** 8/31 9/12 9/26 10/19 11/2
Magnolia Warbler *** 8/31 9/13 10/1 10/19 10/31
Yellow-throated Warbler *** 8/2 9/3 9/25 10/20 11/4
Brown Thrasher *** 9/2 9/22 10/6 10/21 11/3
Common Yellowthroat *** 9/1 9/17 10/6 10/21 11/2
Clay-colored Sparrow * 9/2 9/16 10/4 10/21 11/6
Gray Catbird *** 9/16 9/27 10/10 10/23 11/6
Tennessee Warbler *** 8/31 9/11 10/3 10/23 11/3
Nashville Warbler *** 8/30 9/11 10/4 10/24 11/12
Northern Parula *** 8/11 9/2 9/19 10/24 11/4
Ovenbird *** 8/26 9/11 9/25 10/25 11/5
Black-and-white Warbler *** 8/22 9/5 9/22 10/25 11/5
Black-throated Green Warbler *** 8/28 9/6 10/10 10/25 11/6
Indigo Bunting *** 9/21 9/30 10/11 10/25 11/5
Red-headed Woodpecker ** 8/22 9/4 9/18 10/26 11/5
Northern Mockingbird *** 9/7 9/23 10/10 10/26 11/22
Pine Warbler *** 8/15 9/1 10/9 10/26 11/3
Black-throated Blue Warbler *** 8/31 9/11 10/11 10/27 11/5
Cape May Warbler ** 9/3 9/12 9/25 10/28 11/5
Northern Flicker *** 9/18 10/1 10/17 10/29 11/8
Painted Bunting ** 9/28 10/4 10/14 10/29 11/9
Yellow-bellied Sapsucker *** 9/30 10/9 10/24 10/31 11/6
Palm Warbler *** 9/15 10/5 10/20 10/31 11/7
Eastern Towhee *** 9/10 10/10 10/19 11/1 11/12
Merlin * 9/8 9/18 10/9 11/2 11/16
Northern Rough-winged Swallow ** 9/25 10/3 10/13 11/2 11/20
Scissor-tailed Flycatcher *** 9/8 9/23 10/7 11/3 11/23

Great Plains

Migration action will be focused on the northern and central Plains for the weekend, with moderate to heavy flights localized to these areas where cooler air and more favorable winds persist. A warm air mass and southerly flow kicks off the work week, followed by sporadic passing disturbances through the remainder of the week. With each of these disturbance comes a pulse of local and scattered moderate flights, possibly heavier in some areas where ephemeral favorable conditions are more extensive than forecast. The most widespread and intense of these flights will be on Wednesday night.

Sedge Wren. Andrew Burnett/Macaulay Library. eBird S32186388.

Sedge Wren. Andrew Burnett/Macaulay Library. eBird S32186388.

Species on the Move

Beginning Arrivals What is this?

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Rough-legged Hawk *** 10/12 10/29 After Nov 30 - -
Mallard ****! 10/14 10/31 11/17 After Nov 30 -
Bonaparte's Gull *** 10/16 10/28 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Bald Eagle *** 10/17 11/10 After Nov 30 - -
Canvasback *** 10/19 10/28 11/10 After Nov 30 -
Lesser Scaup ****! 10/21 10/30 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Snow Goose *** 10/23 11/3 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Hooded Merganser *** 10/23 11/3 11/17 After Nov 30 -
Ross's Goose *** 10/25 11/5 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Greater Scaup ** 10/26 11/5 11/16 After Nov 30 -
Bufflehead ****! 10/29 11/7 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Cackling Goose *** 11/1 11/10 11/23 After Nov 30 -
Canada Goose ****! 11/1 11/10 11/22 After Nov 30 -

Peaking Arrivals

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Pied-billed Grebe *** 9/3 9/16 10/30 11/13 11/29
Yellow-bellied Sapsucker * 9/12 9/27 After Nov 30 - -
Brown Creeper ** 9/18 10/5 After Nov 30 - -
Pine Siskin ** 9/26 10/9 11/2 After Nov 30 -
Northern Harrier *** 9/12 10/11 10/28 11/12 After Nov 30
Golden-crowned Kinglet ** 9/25 10/12 11/5 11/15 After Nov 30
Dark-eyed Junco ****! 9/29 10/14 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Western Grebe * 9/6 10/17 10/31 After Nov 30 -
Greater White-fronted Goose *** 10/5 10/18 11/5 11/24 After Nov 30
Sandhill Crane *** 10/7 10/18 10/31 11/13 After Nov 30
Gadwall *** 10/9 10/20 11/7 After Nov 30 -
American Wigeon *** 10/4 10/20 11/4 11/20 After Nov 30
Green-winged Teal *** 10/5 10/20 11/5 After Nov 30 -
Horned Grebe *** 10/8 10/21 11/6 11/22 After Nov 30
Northern Pintail *** 10/10 10/23 11/6 After Nov 30 -
Ring-billed Gull *** 10/11 10/23 11/10 After Nov 30 -
Ruddy Duck *** 10/13 10/24 11/6 11/21 After Nov 30
Herring Gull ** 9/30 10/24 After Nov 30 - -
Ring-necked Duck *** 10/16 10/25 11/5 11/14 11/19
Redhead *** 10/17 10/26 11/8 11/20 After Nov 30
Northern Shoveler *** 10/19 10/27 11/7 11/19 After Nov 30
Common Loon *** 10/16 10/27 11/11 After Nov 30 -
Purple Finch * 8/2 10/27 After Nov 30 - -
Canvasback *** 10/19 10/28 11/10 After Nov 30 -
Bonaparte's Gull *** 10/16 10/28 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Rough-legged Hawk ** 10/12 10/29 After Nov 30 - -
Lesser Scaup *** 10/21 10/30 11/12 After Nov 30 -
Mallard *** 10/14 10/31 11/17 After Nov 30 -
Snow Goose *** 10/23 11/3 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Hooded Merganser *** 10/23 11/3 11/17 After Nov 30 -

Beginning Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Killdeer *** - - Before Aug 1 11/4 After Nov 30
Wood Duck ** - 8/2 8/20 10/28 After Nov 30
Red-shouldered Hawk * 8/2 9/7 9/29 10/28 11/25
Northern Flicker *** 9/7 9/16 10/1 11/4 11/13
Chipping Sparrow *** 9/20 9/24 10/1 11/1 11/13
Common Grackle *** 9/13 9/20 10/6 10/29 After Nov 30
Lincoln's Sparrow *** 9/6 9/21 10/11 10/29 11/10
Savannah Sparrow *** 9/13 10/3 10/15 10/29 11/8
White-throated Sparrow *** 9/16 9/28 10/15 11/6 11/17
Western Meadowlark *** 8/2 9/9 10/15 10/29 11/7
Franklin's Gull *** 9/3 9/16 10/16 11/7 After Nov 30
Le Conte's Sparrow *** 9/25 10/4 10/16 10/28 11/7
Swamp Sparrow *** 9/21 10/2 10/16 11/2 11/14
Sharp-shinned Hawk ** 8/31 10/2 10/17 10/28 After Nov 30
Eastern Meadowlark *** 9/21 10/1 10/17 11/7 11/19
American White Pelican *** 8/2 9/8 10/18 After Nov 30 -
Wilson's Snipe ** 8/2 10/3 10/18 11/3 11/16
Field Sparrow *** 9/20 10/4 10/18 11/4 11/15
American Avocet *** 9/23 10/5 10/20 11/12 After Nov 30
Red-winged Blackbird *** 9/12 9/26 10/22 After Nov 30 -
Double-crested Cormorant *** 9/10 9/26 10/23 After Nov 30 -
Merlin * 8/19 9/6 10/24 11/8 11/24
American Pipit *** 9/17 10/6 10/24 11/12 After Nov 30
Song Sparrow *** 9/26 10/8 10/24 11/6 11/17
Red-tailed Hawk ** 9/5 9/27 10/27 11/9 After Nov 30
Greater Yellowlegs ** - 8/2 10/27 11/16 After Nov 30
Northern Harrier *** 9/12 10/11 10/28 11/12 After Nov 30
Pied-billed Grebe *** 9/3 9/16 10/30 11/13 11/29
Western Grebe ** 9/6 10/17 10/31 After Nov 30 -
Sandhill Crane *** 10/7 10/18 10/31 11/13 After Nov 30
Pine Siskin * 9/26 10/9 11/2 After Nov 30 -
American Wigeon *** 10/4 10/20 11/4 11/20 After Nov 30

Ending Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Black-bellied Plover * - 8/2 8/21 9/1 11/21
Tree Swallow ** - - Before Aug 1 9/9 11/1
Lesser Yellowlegs ** - 8/2 8/20 9/13 11/8
Black-crowned Night-Heron * - 8/2 8/27 9/27 10/28
Cattle Egret * - - Before Aug 1 10/1 11/2
White-faced Ibis * - 8/2 9/1 10/2 10/30
Osprey *** 8/28 9/9 9/23 10/6 11/11
American Golden-Plover * 8/12 9/22 9/30 10/12 11/16
Black-throated Green Warbler * 8/20 9/2 9/22 10/13 10/28
Clay-colored Sparrow *** 8/20 9/3 9/24 10/16 10/30
Orange-crowned Warbler *** 9/5 9/21 10/4 10/17 10/28
Scissor-tailed Flycatcher *** 9/6 9/16 9/27 10/19 11/1
Great Egret *** - 8/2 9/13 10/20 11/11
Sora * - 8/2 9/27 10/20 11/4
Sedge Wren *** 9/19 9/28 10/9 10/21 10/31
Nelson's Sparrow ** 9/23 9/30 10/10 10/21 10/29
Marsh Wren *** 9/14 9/27 10/9 10/23 11/5
Blue-winged Teal *** 8/2 8/10 9/13 10/24 11/10
Cooper's Hawk ** 8/2 9/5 9/24 10/24 11/8
Ruby-crowned Kinglet *** 9/7 9/21 10/8 10/24 11/8
Yellow-rumped Warbler *** 9/15 9/26 10/11 10/24 11/15
Sprague's Pipit * 9/19 9/29 10/11 10/25 11/6
Spotted Towhee *** 9/9 9/23 10/9 10/25 11/6
Vesper Sparrow *** 9/7 9/23 10/10 10/27 11/6
Wood Duck ** - 8/2 8/20 10/28 After Nov 30
Sharp-shinned Hawk * 8/31 10/2 10/17 10/28 After Nov 30
Red-shouldered Hawk * 8/2 9/7 9/29 10/28 11/25
Le Conte's Sparrow *** 9/25 10/4 10/16 10/28 11/7
Savannah Sparrow *** 9/13 10/3 10/15 10/29 11/8
Lincoln's Sparrow *** 9/6 9/21 10/11 10/29 11/10
Western Meadowlark *** 8/2 9/9 10/15 10/29 11/7
Common Grackle *** 9/13 9/20 10/6 10/29 After Nov 30
Chipping Sparrow *** 9/20 9/24 10/1 11/1 11/13
Swamp Sparrow *** 9/21 10/2 10/16 11/2 11/14
Wilson's Snipe ** 8/2 10/3 10/18 11/3 11/16
Killdeer *** - - Before Aug 1 11/4 After Nov 30
Northern Flicker *** 9/7 9/16 10/1 11/4 11/13
Field Sparrow *** 9/20 10/4 10/18 11/4 11/15

West

Light to moderate flights in the northern tier are the highlight for the first part of the weekend in the West. Generally unfavorable winds and widespread, and at times intense, precipitation that keep migrants grounded follows for most of the region thereafter until Tuesday night. There are a few local exceptions in the eastern portion of the region, where some light to locally moderate flights may occur. Tuesday night will see light to moderate flights from portions of California and the Desert Southwest north and east through the northern Rockies. These flights stay local until favorable migration conditions become slightly more extensive to end the week on Thursday and Friday; light to moderate flights will follow, primarily in southern and eastern areas.

White-winged Scoter. Bob Moose/Macaulay Library. eBird S32199954.

White-winged Scoter. Bob Moose/Macaulay Library. eBird S32199954.

Species on the Move

Beginning Arrivals What is this?

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Canada Goose ** 8/2 11/4 After Nov 30 - -
Ring-billed Gull ** 8/10 11/7 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Northern Harrier ** 8/17 11/8 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Sandhill Crane * 9/14 11/10 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Canvasback *** 10/9 11/4 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Rough-legged Hawk * 10/12 11/29 After Nov 30 - -
Pacific Loon * 10/14 10/29 11/24 After Nov 30 -
Bufflehead ****! 10/16 10/29 After Nov 30 - -
Bonaparte's Gull *** 10/17 10/28 11/10 After Nov 30 -
Hooded Merganser *** 10/19 11/2 After Nov 30 - -
Red-breasted Merganser *** 10/20 11/2 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Trumpeter Swan * 10/21 11/4 After Nov 30 - -
Tundra Swan ** 10/25 11/6 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Barrow's Goldeneye ** 10/25 11/8 After Nov 30 - -
Ferruginous Hawk * 10/25 11/6 After Nov 30 - -
Ross's Goose ** 10/30 11/9 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Common Goldeneye *** 11/4 11/12 After Nov 30 - -

Peaking Arrivals

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Northern Shoveler *** 8/6 8/20 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Northern Pintail ** 8/12 8/20 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Green-winged Teal ** 8/2 8/20 11/17 After Nov 30 -
Black Phoebe ** 8/16 9/9 11/17 After Nov 30 -
Red-tailed Hawk *** 8/7 9/10 After Nov 30 - -
American Pipit ** 8/31 9/11 11/15 After Nov 30 -
Say's Phoebe ** 9/1 9/13 11/21 After Nov 30 -
Merlin * 8/30 9/14 11/9 11/28 After Nov 30
Eared Grebe *** 9/2 9/16 11/11 After Nov 30 -
Marsh Wren * 8/21 9/20 10/29 After Nov 30 -
Varied Thrush ** 9/18 9/29 After Nov 30 - -
Cackling Goose ** 9/16 10/3 After Nov 30 - -
Ruby-crowned Kinglet *** 9/21 10/3 11/5 11/10 11/12
White-throated Sparrow * 9/20 10/3 10/28 11/5 11/10
Dark-eyed Junco *** 9/23 10/5 11/8 11/13 11/16
Herring Gull ** 9/28 10/13 After Nov 30 - -
Redhead * 10/3 10/14 11/14 After Nov 30 -
Ruddy Duck ** 9/21 10/14 11/18 After Nov 30 -
Western Grebe *** 10/3 10/14 11/2 After Nov 30 -
Dunlin ** 10/5 10/15 10/30 After Nov 30 -
American Wigeon *** 9/2 10/17 11/22 After Nov 30 -
Ring-necked Duck *** 9/21 10/17 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Clark's Grebe * 10/8 10/18 11/6 After Nov 30 -
Pied-billed Grebe ** 8/2 10/19 11/11 After Nov 30 -
Bald Eagle ** 9/26 10/19 After Nov 30 - -
Greater Scaup * 10/8 10/20 After Nov 30 - -
White-winged Scoter * 10/11 10/20 11/5 11/15 After Nov 30
Red-necked Grebe * 8/26 10/20 11/3 11/13 11/20
Surf Scoter ** 10/7 10/21 11/10 11/15 11/18
Horned Grebe ** 9/20 10/21 11/8 11/15 11/19
Mew Gull ** 10/1 10/22 11/20 After Nov 30 -
California Gull * 8/2 10/22 11/7 After Nov 30 -
Common Loon ** 10/12 10/23 11/4 11/14 11/22
Glaucous-winged Gull ** 10/10 10/23 After Nov 30 - -
Gadwall ** 10/7 10/25 11/17 After Nov 30 -
Lesser Scaup *** 10/8 10/26 11/19 After Nov 30 -
Bonaparte's Gull *** 10/17 10/28 11/10 After Nov 30 -
Bufflehead *** 10/16 10/29 After Nov 30 - -
Pacific Loon * 10/14 10/29 11/24 After Nov 30 -
Hooded Merganser ** 10/19 11/2 After Nov 30 - -
Red-breasted Merganser ** 10/20 11/2 11/20 After Nov 30 -
Canada Goose ** 8/2 11/4 After Nov 30 - -
Trumpeter Swan * 10/21 11/4 After Nov 30 - -
Canvasback ** 10/9 11/4 11/19 After Nov 30 -

Beginning Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Greater Yellowlegs * 8/11 8/18 8/28 After Nov 30 -
Elegant Tern * 8/2 8/21 9/7 After Nov 30 -
Black-bellied Plover * 9/12 9/18 9/30 After Nov 30 -
Red-shouldered Hawk * 8/17 9/12 10/3 After Nov 30 -
Northern Flicker *** 9/5 9/29 10/16 11/8 11/22
Western Meadowlark * 9/16 9/30 10/16 After Nov 30 -
Sharp-shinned Hawk * 8/23 9/10 10/19 11/11 After Nov 30
Fox Sparrow * 9/9 9/23 10/20 11/1 11/8
Belted Kingfisher * - 8/2 10/22 After Nov 30 -
Golden-crowned Kinglet * 9/10 10/4 10/23 11/6 11/18
Hermit Thrush * 9/25 10/6 10/26 11/6 11/15
White-throated Sparrow * 9/20 10/3 10/28 11/5 11/10
Marsh Wren * 8/21 9/20 10/29 After Nov 30 -
Dunlin * 10/5 10/15 10/30 After Nov 30 -
Western Grebe *** 10/3 10/14 11/2 After Nov 30 -
Red-necked Grebe * 8/26 10/20 11/3 11/13 11/20
Common Loon ** 10/12 10/23 11/4 11/14 11/22

Ending Departures

Species Noticeability Migrants Begin Arriving Rapid Migrant Influx Peak Rapid Migrant Departure Last Migrants Depart
Sora * 8/21 9/1 9/13 9/23 After Nov 30
Marbled Godwit * 8/9 8/17 8/28 9/29 After Nov 30
American Avocet * 8/15 8/21 8/30 9/30 After Nov 30
Parasitic Jaeger * 8/26 9/6 9/19 10/1 10/29
Black Turnstone * 8/6 8/17 9/21 10/2 After Nov 30
Heermann's Gull * 8/15 9/14 9/21 10/2 After Nov 30
Killdeer *** 8/2 8/14 9/7 10/3 11/3
Franklin's Gull * - 8/2 8/31 10/3 11/5
American Robin * 8/30 9/4 10/10 10/17 11/14
Chipping Sparrow *** - 8/2 9/8 10/18 11/2
Clay-colored Sparrow * 8/17 8/28 9/14 10/18 11/6
Red-breasted Nuthatch *** - 8/2 9/7 10/19 10/30
Black-throated Gray Warbler *** - 8/2 10/4 10/19 10/29
Brewer's Blackbird * 8/23 9/11 9/27 10/20 After Nov 30
Lincoln's Sparrow ** 8/30 9/11 10/4 10/21 11/5
White-crowned Sparrow *** 9/6 9/21 10/11 10/21 10/31
Red-naped Sapsucker * 9/6 9/19 10/7 10/22 11/3
Townsend's Warbler *** 8/13 8/30 10/2 10/22 11/6
Blue-winged Teal * - 8/2 9/22 10/23 11/3
Yellow-rumped Warbler *** 9/13 9/27 10/14 10/23 11/3
Cooper's Hawk ** 8/2 9/7 10/1 10/24 11/11
Savannah Sparrow ** 8/2 9/3 9/23 10/24 11/2
Pink-footed Shearwater * 8/8 8/27 9/14 10/25 11/7
Golden-crowned Sparrow * 9/13 9/26 10/19 10/26 11/18
Red-winged Blackbird ** 8/25 9/12 10/10 10/27 After Nov 30
Fox Sparrow * 9/9 9/23 10/20 11/1 11/8

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Farnsworth and Van Doren

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